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C ompréhension et  A nalyse des  S cénarios,  A léas, et risques  V olcaniques aux_cc781905 -5cde-3194-bb3b- 136bad5cf58d_ Antilles

Date: 2010 - 2014

Project ANR 

The CASAVA project offered a fundamental research strategy leading to a quantitative assessment of volcanic risk that takes into account the socio-cultural and territorial dimension by focusing on the volcanoes of Soufrière in Guadeloupe and Montagne Pelée in Martinique. CASAVA was a multi-disciplinary research project of broad scope that included Earth sciences, mathematical simulation of phenomena, physical geography and analysis of territorial and institutional vulnerabilities, social sciences and study of socio-cultural and human vulnerability, pre-Colombian archaeology, legal sciences, probabilistic risk analysis and decision support, institutional risk management policies, the role of the CatNat protection system in risk management, and applied mathematics and artificial intelligence for the dynamic simulation of eruptive scenarios, their impact on the territory and the behavioural modelling of populations.


  • IPGP (Institut de Physique du Globe de Paris Coordinator) France,

  • PRODIG (Pôle de Recherche pour l'Organisation et la Diffusion de l'Information Géographique) France,

  • CNRS, Paris

  • GESTER (Management of Societies, Territories and Risks, University of Montpellier)

  • the BRGM (Bureau de recherches géologiques et minières) France

  • MASA Group, France

  • Caribbean Geode Research Centre EA929 University of Antilles Guyane

  • Physical Geography Laboratory UMR 8591

  • University of Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne

  • Centre de Recherches Espaces, Sociétés, Cultures (CRESC), Université Paris 13 Nord

  • University of Paris 7 René Diderot

  • National Institute for Preventive Archaeological Research (INRAP)

  • University Joseph Fourier Grenoble 1

  • University of Strasbourg

  • Caisse Centrale de Réassurance

  • Emergency Medical Service (SMUR) Intercommunal General Hospital of Basse-Terre Guadeloupe

  • Instituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia (INGV) Sezione di Pisa, Italy

  • University of Bristol, UK

  • CIHENCE Environmental expertise and solutions

  • Cambridge Architectural Research LTD (CAR) University of Cambridge

  • School of Public Health, University of Cambridge, UK

  • Risk Management Solutions (RMS), UK centre

  • Interdepartmental Civil Defence and Protection Service, Prefecture of the Guadeloupe Region

  • Interdepartmental Civil Defence and Protection Service, Prefecture of the Martinique Region

  • Etat Major de Zone Antilles, Préfecture de la Région Martinique, Etat Major de défense et sécurité civiles,

  • Directorate of Civil Security (DSC)


Results obtained:

  • research on a disaster model allowing to inject into the simulation results of external simulations (here the pyroclastic cloud and attrition model)

  • research on a population model to model population flows during mass evacuations

  • models of population behaviour based on sociological research

  • sample assignments for public safety officers


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